Well, the deadline has come and gone. Of course I'm not talking about the NFL deadline of March 3rd to get a new deal done...yet. I firmly believe a deal between the NFL and Players' Association won't happen until at least August.
Albert Pujols and the St. Louis Cardinals failed to reach an agreement by noon February 16, 2011 on a contract that would start following the upcoming baseball season. Pujols and his agent, Dan Lozano, had set this deadline and vowed that negotiations would cease at that point until after the 2011 season. (Also, they stated that all trades would be rejected.)
So what are the Cardinals up against? Twice in his career, Alex Rodriguez has set the standard against which all contracts would be judged. In 2001 he left Seattle as a free agent for a 10 year, $252,000,000 (crazy how many zeroes there were) with the lowly Texas Rangers (who many believe were bidding against themselves), while after the 2007 season, Rodriguez opted out of the final years of that contract, only to sign a new deal with the New York Yankees for 10 more years and $275M, plus incentives which could make the deal worth as much as $305M. Again, Rodriguez got a team to bid against themselves. When he is 41 and 42 years old, Rodriguez will still be making over $20M a year...regardless if he's injured and not playing baseball anymore.
The latest A-Rod contract has been the biggest cause for consternation by the Cardinals' brass (and others around the league). Nobody who follows baseball will argue the fact that Albert Pujols is the best baseball player in the game. Not only has he won a World Series title and three MVP awards, he has statistically shown that he is the most dominant player of the last decade. It's hard to believe, but he's actually significantly outplayed the seven year, $100M that will wrap up after this season. For those that think that, like me, Albert is just a pretty face, he has hit at least .300, with 30 home runs and 100 RBI in each of his 10 seasons. Nobody in baseball history has ever compiled numbers like that.
But now come the dilemmas.
How long can Pujols sustain numbers like this? It really isn't a matter of if his body would break down; it's a matter of when. Only Barry Bonds was a prolific hitter in years well past what should have been his prime, but the * that has been affixed to his name by many sports writers and fans has seemingly answered that. Maybe Pujols knows the location of the Fountain of Youth, but the odds are not in his favor to be still performing at the same level even six years from now.
Would the Cardinals have to pay more because they're bidding against themselves right now? (A-Rod just smiled.) Allegedly, Pujols and Lozano are seeking the highest paying contract in baseball (if not sport's) history. Numbers being speculated are 10 years, $300M. While a salary of $30M/year is reasonable (can't believe I just wrote that), the 10 years is not palatable to even the richest owners. It was reported today that the Cardinals went as high as an eight year deal, but it too was rebuffed.
So who will sign Albert? Major League Baseball is flush with cash and many owners would love to add the best player in baseball to their payroll. Unfortunately for Pujols, the two notoriously biggest spenders in baseball have locked up their first base positions for the foreseeable future (Yankees-Teixeira and Red Sox-Gonzales). Both teams also have players occupying their Designated Hitter positions, with the Yankees planning on A-Rod taking over that spot when his play declines enough to warrant it. The Phillies also have their first baseman (Ryan Howard) locked up at ~$25M year.
So without those three teams that would drive costs absurdly high, who's next? If Pujols honored the Cardinals traditions, he wouldn't sign with the Chicago Cubs, but it appears obvious that money is driving Albert's thought process. The Cubs have several expiring contracts, so Albert's costs wouldn't significantly affect the Cubs' bottom line, but I believe the biggest issue here would be the Cubs swooping in and stealing their division rivals' best player. I also think the Angels would be an enticing option because over the past few years they've been runner up for several big name free agents. What better way to get back in the free agent signing game than to ink the best player in baseball to a deal?
Although I'm trying not to be biased, why shouldn't the Rockies make a run at Pujols? Yes, adding $30M to the next 8-10 payrolls is not the Rockies way of doing business, but having Tulo, Cargo AND Pujols benefiting from hitting in the Mile High city would firmly put the Rockies as (at worst) 1A to the Broncos' #1 status in Denver. Todd Helton is at the end of his career and Pujols would be an incredible addition.
When it's all said and done, I think St. Louis will implode when Pujols leads the Cubs to their first World Series title in over 100 years. Better schedule that Arch visit soon.